<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<rss xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" version="2.0"><channel><atom:link rel="hub" href="http://tumblr.superfeedr.com/" xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom"/><description>The management can be found at davidconnell.net</description><title>aquariumdrinker</title><generator>Tumblr (3.0; @aquariumdrinker)</generator><link>http://aquariumdrinker.com/</link><item><title>The New York Times: The Flattening of Design</title><description>&lt;a href="http://bits.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/04/23/the-flattening-of-design/"&gt;The New York Times: The Flattening of Design&lt;/a&gt;: &lt;p&gt;&lt;a href="https://twitter.com/jvanslem" target="_blank"&gt;Justin Van Slembrouck&lt;/a&gt;, design director at &lt;a href="http://digg.com/" target="_blank"&gt;Digg&lt;/a&gt;, the social news site, said that while some design decisions were made as stylistic choices, “it is increasingly being driven by mobile, where you’re designing for the lowest common denominator so you can’t load a site up with heavy graphics.” He added, “The end result, with flat design, is that it all feels less cluttered.”&lt;/p&gt;</description><link>http://aquariumdrinker.com/post/49249936135</link><guid>http://aquariumdrinker.com/post/49249936135</guid><pubDate>Tue, 30 Apr 2013 06:03:46 -0400</pubDate><category>design</category><category>skeuomorphism</category><category>web design</category><category>apple</category><category>microsoft</category><category>flattening of design</category></item><item><title>two sentence Mad Men review (season 6, episode 4)</title><description>&lt;p&gt;&lt;img alt="image" height="535" src="http://media.amctv.com/photo-gallery/mm6-episode-photos/MM_604_JA_1210_0476.jpg" width="760"/&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Don Draper doesn&amp;#8217;t care for this whole &amp;#8220;women&amp;#8217;s lib&amp;#8221; thing. The difference between ketchup and catsup: a certain amount water and blandness that makes Peggy Olsen angry. &lt;/p&gt;</description><link>http://aquariumdrinker.com/post/48603150314</link><guid>http://aquariumdrinker.com/post/48603150314</guid><pubDate>Mon, 22 Apr 2013 05:49:00 -0400</pubDate><category>mad men</category><category>don draper</category><category>peggy olsen</category><category>season six</category><category>episode 4</category><category>ketchup</category><category>catsup</category><category>women's liberation</category></item><item><title>How Bands and Start Ups Are Similar</title><description>&lt;a href="http://joshsternberg.com/2013/04/21/how-bands-and-start-ups-are-similar/"&gt;How Bands and Start Ups Are Similar&lt;/a&gt;: &lt;p&gt;&lt;a class="tumblr_blog" href="http://microblog.joshsternberg.com/post/48533924005/how-bands-and-start-ups-are-similar" target="_blank"&gt;joshsternberg&lt;/a&gt;:&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;blockquote&gt;
&lt;blockquote class="link_og_blockquote"&gt;
&lt;div&gt;&lt;span&gt;I recently met with a CEO of a Denver start-up. He was in Manhattan pitching one of the largest media agencies in the world. We crossed paths at a mutual friend’s apartment, where said CEO was crashing. We got to talking about the trials and tribulations of being a start-up; that world is not unknown to me, as I counseled and represented many a start-up when I was in public relations. As the CEO talked about what he was going through, I realized there are many parallels between start-ups and bands.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;span&gt;Click through to read the rest. &lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/blockquote&gt;</description><link>http://aquariumdrinker.com/post/48535858691</link><guid>http://aquariumdrinker.com/post/48535858691</guid><pubDate>Sun, 21 Apr 2013 12:53:04 -0400</pubDate><category>startups</category><category>tech</category><category>bands</category></item><item><title>Gotham’s gangsters re-imagined as 1920s gangsters.
Found...</title><description>&lt;img src="http://25.media.tumblr.com/11c5c95ba7e66f98446997fb90627ea4/tumblr_mlm1hqVb6y1qz72sdo1_500.jpg"/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;&lt;p&gt;Gotham’s gangsters re-imagined as 1920s gangsters.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Found via &lt;a href="http://www.cnet.com.au/gothams-villains-reimagined-as-1920s-mugshots-339343924.htm" target="_blank"&gt;Gotham’s villains reimagined as 1920s mugshots on Crave&lt;/a&gt;. Original on &lt;a href="http://jempixel.blogspot.ca/" target="_blank"&gt;Jempix blog&lt;/a&gt; and inspired by these &lt;a href="http://twistedsifter.com/2011/05/vintage-mugshots-from-1920s-black-white/" target="_blank"&gt;vintage mugshots of 1920s Australian gangsters&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;/p&gt;</description><link>http://aquariumdrinker.com/post/48527004611</link><guid>http://aquariumdrinker.com/post/48527004611</guid><pubDate>Sun, 21 Apr 2013 10:56:13 -0400</pubDate><category>gotham</category><category>design</category><category>DC comics</category><category>the joker</category><category>comics</category><category>gangsters</category><category>photos</category><category>vintage</category></item><item><title>Toothpaste For Dinner comic: google chrome friends
You...</title><description>&lt;img src="http://25.media.tumblr.com/fff789e466e6a64b13a5a8791e107048/tumblr_mk60c1Yoil1qz72sdo1_500.gif"/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;&lt;p&gt;Toothpaste For Dinner comic: google chrome friends&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;You wouldn’t understand… &lt;/p&gt;</description><link>http://aquariumdrinker.com/post/46154684950</link><guid>http://aquariumdrinker.com/post/46154684950</guid><pubDate>Sun, 24 Mar 2013 08:36:01 -0400</pubDate><category>toothpaste for dinner</category><category>comics</category><category>google chrome</category></item><item><title>Limited edition USA v Costa Rica World Cup Qualifyier poster...</title><description>&lt;img src="http://25.media.tumblr.com/15f18f5b914fd0a8f7dcda82a7c5624c/tumblr_mk4fztHViK1qz72sdo1_500.jpg"/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.ussoccerstore.com/us00x619913ca.html" target="_blank"&gt;Limited edition USA v Costa Rica World Cup Qualifyier poste&lt;/a&gt;r by &lt;span&gt;Denver animator &lt;a href="http://www.shawnielsen.com/" target="_blank"&gt;Shaw Nielsen&lt;/a&gt; and Denver printer &lt;a href="http://www.indyink.com/" target="_blank"&gt;IndyInk&lt;/a&gt;. &lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;span&gt;Only 100 were printed and they’re available (signed and numbered) for a pretty reasonable $100. Let’s hope this is something US Soccer will be doing going forward for home qualifiers. With matches coming up in Seattle, Salt Lake, Columbus and Kansas City, we could see some really nice prints. &lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;</description><link>http://aquariumdrinker.com/post/46079858132</link><guid>http://aquariumdrinker.com/post/46079858132</guid><pubDate>Sat, 23 Mar 2013 12:19:05 -0400</pubDate><category>us soccer</category><category>costa rica</category><category>design</category><category>print</category><category>posters</category><category>denver</category><category>world cup qualifier</category><category>hexagonal</category><category>snowqualifier</category></item><item><title>What does this say about the state of social? I’m...</title><description>&lt;img src="http://25.media.tumblr.com/8833a129cc09b44f17ace9969d7ac317/tumblr_mjtuqmAbjs1qz72sdo1_500.png"/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;&lt;p&gt;What does this say about the state of social? I’m surprised to see Twitter so far behind Facebook. Google Plus, just getting to 100? Not so surprising. Granted, this is CBS, so the audience probably trends older, but this was taken during the selection show, so this bracket was the only game in town at the time.  &lt;/p&gt;</description><link>http://aquariumdrinker.com/post/45626217510</link><guid>http://aquariumdrinker.com/post/45626217510</guid><pubDate>Sun, 17 Mar 2013 19:03:00 -0400</pubDate><category>ncaa tournament</category><category>CBS</category><category>brackets</category><category>bracketology</category><category>Social media</category></item><item><title>jthenr-comics-vault:

Happy St. Paddy’s Day, Everyone!
</title><description>&lt;img src="http://25.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_majw5fxfz41rur0aro1_500.jpg"/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;a class="tumblr_blog" href="http://jthenr-comics-vault.tumblr.com/post/45580588635/happy-st-paddys-day-everyone" target="_blank"&gt;jthenr-comics-vault&lt;/a&gt;:&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Happy St. Paddy’s Day, Everyone!&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/blockquote&gt;</description><link>http://aquariumdrinker.com/post/45594060771</link><guid>http://aquariumdrinker.com/post/45594060771</guid><pubDate>Sun, 17 Mar 2013 12:38:21 -0400</pubDate><category>st patrick's day</category><category>super heroes</category><category>comics</category></item><item><title>I’m A Climate Scientist - Extended Version (NSFW) (by...</title><description>&lt;iframe width="400" height="225" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/xFTddFk6zb8?wmode=transparent&amp;autohide=1&amp;egm=0&amp;hd=1&amp;iv_load_policy=3&amp;modestbranding=1&amp;rel=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;showsearch=0" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen&gt;&lt;/iframe&gt;&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;&lt;p&gt;I’m A Climate Scientist - Extended Version (NSFW) (by &lt;a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&amp;v=xFTddFk6zb8" target="_blank"&gt;abchungrybeast&lt;/a&gt;)&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;A definitively not suitable for work rap video from actual climate scientists.  &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Flashing studio lights, cheerleaders, evil oil barons, unseemly COP 16 reps and lines like, “The greenhouse effect is just a theory, sucka. Yeah, so is gravity — float away, mothafucka!” this video has gotten a bit of attention from the environmental community, but it’s entirely too raw to appeal to those still listening to the ever shrinking denialists. &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Instead, think of this as a rant — a rage — from scientists who know too much about what’s really happening to our planet and see our leaders doing far too little. &lt;/p&gt;</description><link>http://aquariumdrinker.com/post/45580153086</link><guid>http://aquariumdrinker.com/post/45580153086</guid><pubDate>Sun, 17 Mar 2013 08:50:00 -0400</pubDate><category>climate change</category><category>environment</category><category>video</category><category>climate scientists</category><category>rap</category></item><item><title>markcoatney:

Having done this, I can tell you that it’s not the...</title><description>&lt;img src="http://25.media.tumblr.com/af60e7aa2b70ca5e3efde8df6e036930/tumblr_mjar8q4YKd1qz98u3o1_500.jpg"/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;a class="tumblr_blog" href="http://markcoatney.com/post/44786445894/having-done-this-i-can-tell-you-that-its-not-the" target="_blank"&gt;markcoatney&lt;/a&gt;:&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Having done this, I can tell you that it’s not the riding of the donkeys that’s impressive, it’s the cleanup.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;We had Donkey Basketball at my school every year — teachers vs students and I can also attest to the heroic nature of the janitors during cleanup. &lt;/p&gt;</description><link>http://aquariumdrinker.com/post/44787377175</link><guid>http://aquariumdrinker.com/post/44787377175</guid><pubDate>Thu, 07 Mar 2013 10:56:19 -0500</pubDate><category>sports</category><category>donkeybasketball</category></item><item><title>Hem - ‘Tourniquet’ (by Strange Beast)</title><description>&lt;iframe src="http://player.vimeo.com/video/58621349" width="400" height="225" frameborder="0"&gt;&lt;/iframe&gt;&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;&lt;p&gt;Hem - ‘Tourniquet’ (by &lt;a href="https://vimeo.com/58621349" target="_blank"&gt;Strange Beast&lt;/a&gt;)&lt;/p&gt;</description><link>http://aquariumdrinker.com/post/43838261027</link><guid>http://aquariumdrinker.com/post/43838261027</guid><pubDate>Sat, 23 Feb 2013 17:34:58 -0500</pubDate><category>video</category><category>music video</category><category>hem</category><category>animation</category></item><item><title>Bing Crosby and David Bowie have a casual chat about their...</title><description>&lt;iframe width="400" height="299" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/DiXjbI3kRus?wmode=transparent&amp;autohide=1&amp;egm=0&amp;hd=1&amp;iv_load_policy=3&amp;modestbranding=1&amp;rel=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;showsearch=0" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen&gt;&lt;/iframe&gt;&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;&lt;p&gt;Bing Crosby and David Bowie have a casual chat about their Christmas traditions and then start singing “Little Drummer Boy.” You know, typical Christmas fare. &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;(via &lt;a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&amp;v=DiXjbI3kRus#!" target="_blank"&gt;BingCrosbyVEVO&lt;/a&gt;)&lt;/p&gt;</description><link>http://aquariumdrinker.com/post/37280685995</link><guid>http://aquariumdrinker.com/post/37280685995</guid><pubDate>Wed, 05 Dec 2012 16:15:15 -0500</pubDate><category>bing crosby</category><category>david bowie</category><category>christmas</category><category>christmas songs</category><category>little drummer boy</category></item><item><title>Jay-Z Rides the Subway, Adorably Explains Who He Is to an Adorable Old Lady</title><description>&lt;a href="http://gawker.com/5965706/jay z-rides-the-subway-adorably-explains-who-he-is-to-an-adorable-old-lady"&gt;Jay-Z Rides the Subway, Adorably Explains Who He Is to an Adorable Old Lady&lt;/a&gt;: &lt;p&gt;“Oh, you’re Jay-Z? I know about Jay-Z.”&lt;/p&gt;</description><link>http://aquariumdrinker.com/post/37276673365</link><guid>http://aquariumdrinker.com/post/37276673365</guid><pubDate>Wed, 05 Dec 2012 15:17:58 -0500</pubDate><category>jay-z</category><category>video</category><category>are you famous</category></item><item><title>Default iPhone Ringtones Done with Acoustic Guitar</title><description>&lt;p&gt;&lt;a class="tumblr_blog" href="http://awkwardhare.com/post/37137906275/default-iphone-ringtones-done-with-acoustic-guitar" target="_blank"&gt;awkwardhare&lt;/a&gt;:&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;What the title said, pretty much.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;I fired up GarageBand and tried to reproduce several of the default iPhone ring tones on my acoustic guitar. I stayed true to the key and tempo of the originals as closely as I could.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Feel free to download/share/distribute.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;ul&gt;&lt;li&gt;&lt;a href="http://media.agiletortoise.com/ringtones/Guitar%20-%20Marimba.m4r" target="_blank"&gt;Marimba&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;&lt;a href="http://media.agiletortoise.com/ringtones/Guitar%20-%20Blues.m4r" target="_blank"&gt;Blues&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;&lt;a href="http://media.agiletortoise.com/ringtones/Guitar%20-%20Piano%20Riff.m4r" target="_blank"&gt;Piano Riff&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;&lt;a href="http://media.agiletortoise.com/ringtones/Guitar%20-%20Alarm.m4r" target="_blank"&gt;Alarm&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;&lt;a href="http://media.agiletortoise.com/ringtones/Guitar%20-%20Doorbell.m4r" target="_blank"&gt;Doorbell&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;/ul&gt;&lt;p&gt;These are .m4r ringtone files, ready to be synced with an iPhone. Safari will play them inline if you just want to preview.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Do, or do not. There is no why.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/blockquote&gt;</description><link>http://aquariumdrinker.com/post/37263317245</link><guid>http://aquariumdrinker.com/post/37263317245</guid><pubDate>Wed, 05 Dec 2012 10:40:35 -0500</pubDate><category>iphone</category><category>ring tones</category><category>acoustic</category><category>garageband</category></item><item><title>Alex Morgan, so deadly… 
Your 2012 U.S. Soccer Female...</title><description>&lt;iframe width="400" height="225" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/9fiDpWEi9Iw?wmode=transparent&amp;autohide=1&amp;egm=0&amp;hd=1&amp;iv_load_policy=3&amp;modestbranding=1&amp;rel=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;showsearch=0" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen&gt;&lt;/iframe&gt;&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;&lt;p&gt;Alex Morgan, so deadly… &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Your 2012 U.S. Soccer Female Athlete of the Year. (via &lt;a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&amp;v=9fiDpWEi9Iw" target="_blank"&gt;US Soccer&lt;/a&gt;)&lt;/p&gt;</description><link>http://aquariumdrinker.com/post/37133636679</link><guid>http://aquariumdrinker.com/post/37133636679</guid><pubDate>Mon, 03 Dec 2012 16:25:15 -0500</pubDate><category>alex morgan</category><category>us soccer</category><category>female athlete of the year</category></item><item><title>Sweet morning on Flickr.</title><description>&lt;img src="http://24.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_mebd62J4HS1qz72sdo1_500.jpg"/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/davidconnell/8228709447/" title="Sweet morning" target="_blank"&gt;Sweet morning&lt;/a&gt; on Flickr.&lt;/p&gt;</description><link>http://aquariumdrinker.com/post/36890461979</link><guid>http://aquariumdrinker.com/post/36890461979</guid><pubDate>Fri, 30 Nov 2012 13:39:38 -0500</pubDate><category>instagram app</category><category>square</category><category>square format</category><category>iphoneography</category><category>Walden</category></item><item><title>What Simpson’s Uno Looks Like to a Six Year-Old...</title><description>&lt;img src="http://24.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_me0ksmQ65Y1qz72sdo12_500.jpg"/&gt;&lt;br/&gt; The Cards&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt; &lt;img src="http://24.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_me0ksmQ65Y1qz72sdo2_500.jpg"/&gt;&lt;br/&gt; "Sleepy Beer Guy"&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt; &lt;img src="http://25.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_me0ksmQ65Y1qz72sdo3_500.jpg"/&gt;&lt;br/&gt; "Angry Waiter"&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt; &lt;img src="http://24.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_me0ksmQ65Y1qz72sdo4_500.jpg"/&gt;&lt;br/&gt; "Bert"&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt; &lt;img src="http://24.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_me0ksmQ65Y1qz72sdo5_500.jpg"/&gt;&lt;br/&gt; "Screaming Grandpa"&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt; &lt;img src="http://24.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_me0ksmQ65Y1qz72sdo6_500.jpg"/&gt;&lt;br/&gt; "Weird Hawaiian Girl"&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt; &lt;img src="http://25.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_me0ksmQ65Y1qz72sdo7_500.jpg"/&gt;&lt;br/&gt; "Angry Farmer"&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt; &lt;img src="http://24.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_me0ksmQ65Y1qz72sdo8_500.jpg"/&gt;&lt;br/&gt; "Weird French Dude"&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt; &lt;img src="http://24.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_me0ksmQ65Y1qz72sdo9_500.jpg"/&gt;&lt;br/&gt; "Funny Headphone Girl"&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt; &lt;img src="http://25.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_me0ksmQ65Y1qz72sdo10_500.jpg"/&gt;&lt;br/&gt; "Donut Policeman"&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;What Simpson’s Uno Looks Like to a Six Year-Old Who’s Never Seen the Show&lt;br/&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;(Click photos for slide show and captions)&lt;strong&gt;&lt;br/&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Captions:&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;“Sleepy Beer Guy”&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;“Angry Waiter”&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;“Bert”&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;“Screaming Grandpa”&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;“Weird Hawaiian Girl”&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;“Angry Farmer”&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;“Weird French Dude”&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;“Funny Headphone Girl”&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;“Doughnut Policeman”&lt;/p&gt;</description><link>http://aquariumdrinker.com/post/36461144717</link><guid>http://aquariumdrinker.com/post/36461144717</guid><pubDate>Sat, 24 Nov 2012 17:52:00 -0500</pubDate><category>simpson</category><category>uno</category><category>characters</category><category>names</category><category>photos</category><category>PHOTO GALLERY</category></item><item><title>Did Facebook Give Democrats the Upper Hand?</title><description>&lt;a href="http://pocket.co/shMKu"&gt;Did Facebook Give Democrats the Upper Hand?&lt;/a&gt;</description><link>http://aquariumdrinker.com/post/35402726871</link><guid>http://aquariumdrinker.com/post/35402726871</guid><pubDate>Sat, 10 Nov 2012 07:52:12 -0500</pubDate><category>social media</category><category>election</category><category>facebook</category></item><item><title>if you believe in data, you know obama's going to win</title><description>&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;&lt;img src="http://media.tumblr.com/tumblr_mcyp8mEYfo1qz75kr.png"/&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;&lt;a href="http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/03/nov-2-for-romney-to-win-state-polls-must-be-statistically-biased/" target="_blank"&gt;From Nate SIlver: This is not a tossup: &lt;/a&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Friday’s polling should make it easy to discern why Mr. Obama has the Electoral College advantage. There were 22 polls of swing states published Friday. Of these, Mr. Obama led in 19 polls, and two showed a tie. Mitt Romney led in just one of the surveys, a Mason-Dixon poll of Florida. &amp;#8230; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Although the fact that Mr. Obama held the lead in so many polls is partly coincidental — there weren’t any polls of North Carolina on Friday, for instance, which is Mr. Romney’s strongest battleground state — they nevertheless represent powerful evidence against the idea that the race is a “tossup.” A&lt;strong&gt; tossup race isn’t likely to produce 19 leads for one candidate and one for the other — any more than a fair coin is likely to come up heads 19 times and tails just once in 20 tosses.&lt;/strong&gt; (The probability of a fair coin doing so is about 1 chance in 50,000.) &lt;em&gt;(Emphasis mine.)&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/blockquote&gt;

&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/decision2012/obama-has-slight-lead-in-electoral-votes-congress-expected-to-remain-status-quo/2012/11/03/6b7f2a3e-25cb-11e2-9313-3c7f59038d93_print.html" target="_blank"&gt;From &lt;em&gt;The Washington Post&lt;/em&gt;: it&amp;#8217;s better to have &amp;#8220;ors&amp;#8221; than &amp;#8220;ands:&amp;#8221;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;If the president were to carry Ohio — and he continues to hold a narrow lead in public polls there — he could win an electoral majority by adding Virginia (13 electoral votes) &lt;strong&gt;or&lt;/strong&gt; Wisconsin (10) &lt;strong&gt;or&lt;/strong&gt; Colorado (nine), &lt;strong&gt;or&lt;/strong&gt; by winning Iowa (six) and New Hampshire (four).  &lt;em&gt;(emphasis mine)&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;If Romney does not win Ohio, his path to victory would have to include Colorado, Florida, Virginia, Wisconsin and either Iowa or New Hampshire. But if he does capture the Buckeye State, he could become president by taking Florida &lt;strong&gt;and&lt;/strong&gt; Virginia &lt;strong&gt;and&lt;/strong&gt; then just one other contested state. &lt;em&gt;(emphasis mine)&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;In other words, while there&amp;#8217;s a lot of attention being paid to Ohio, both candidates still need other states to win. On Obama&amp;#8217;s map, there&amp;#8217;s a lot of &amp;#8220;ors,&amp;#8221; but with Romney &amp;#8212; even with Ohio &amp;#8212; there&amp;#8217;s a lot of &amp;#8220;ands.&amp;#8221;&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/pa/pennsylvania_romney_vs_obama-1891.html#polls" target="_blank"&gt;From Real Clear Politics: Pennsylvania is NOT, I repeat NOT, competitive:&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Go ahead and hit the link above right now. Over the last seven polls, Obama&amp;#8217;s lead in Pennsylvania has ranged from a tie (more on that in a second) to +6 and his current average is +4.1. With the exception of two polls from the same firm (can you say &amp;#8220;outlier?&amp;#8221;), Obama hasn&amp;#8217;t been behind or tied in the Keystone State since February. It is not a competitive state. &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Romney is making a last-ditch effort to campaign in Pennsylvania because he needs to expand his avenues to victory &amp;#8212; see &amp;#8220;ands&amp;#8221; vs &amp;#8220;ors&amp;#8221; above &amp;#8212; but it&amp;#8217;s not a competitive state now and it won&amp;#8217;t be on Tuesday. &lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.denverpost.com/politics-national/2012/11/nine-2012-electoral-college-predictions-have-obama-ahead/" target="_blank"&gt;From The Denver Post: Republican and Democratic political scientists agree: it&amp;#8217;s Obama:&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Nine different maps from nine different political prognosticators predict an Obama win with electoral counts ranging from 281 electoral votes to 332 votes. &lt;strong&gt;What&amp;#8217;s particularly striking about these maps is how many states Obama can lose and still win. &lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;So there&amp;#8217;s the data. You can believe it, or you can can believe Romney aides that say they have secret data that shows them winning in Ohio and competitive in Pennsylvania. But to believe them, you have to not believe in data, but instead have simple faith in Republican operatives. Given that choice, I&amp;#8217;ll go with data every time. &lt;/p&gt;</description><link>http://aquariumdrinker.com/post/34971190665</link><guid>http://aquariumdrinker.com/post/34971190665</guid><pubDate>Sun, 04 Nov 2012 06:58:00 -0500</pubDate><category>2012 election</category><category>election 2012</category><category>barack obama</category><category>mitt romney</category><category>polls</category><category>data</category><category>pennsylvania</category><category>ohio</category><category>nate silver</category><category>five thirty eight</category></item><item><title>New York Times Pay Gating Nate Silver’s 538 Forecast
It...</title><description>&lt;img src="http://25.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_mcsat7cP4b1qz72sdo1_500.png"/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;New York Times Pay Gating Nate Silver’s 538 Forecast&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;It looks like &lt;em&gt;The Times&lt;/em&gt; is trying to make some bank on the popularity of &lt;a href="http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/" target="_blank"&gt;Nate Silver’s 538 election forecasts&lt;/a&gt; by adding a pay gate over the portion of the forecast that shows the chances each candidate has of winning. This is the first time I’ve seen &lt;em&gt;The Times&lt;/em&gt; add a pay gate to a feature on a page, rather than the whole page. It’s also the first time I’ve seen them create a pay gate that can’t be circumvented by deleting the Identification key at the end of the URL. &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;I have to tip my hat to the Grey Lady because this is a pretty damn clever way to get people to pony up for a digital subscription. At the same time, I’m really annoyed because I need to know Obama’s chances of winning right now. &lt;/p&gt;</description><link>http://aquariumdrinker.com/post/34733487343</link><guid>http://aquariumdrinker.com/post/34733487343</guid><pubDate>Wed, 31 Oct 2012 21:00:43 -0400</pubDate><category>nate silver</category><category>538</category><category>pay gate</category><category>new york times</category><category>election</category><category>election forecast</category></item></channel></rss>
